Political game on a Chess table

As Musharraf entered into talks with Benazir thinking her involvement will keep the stronger player, Nawaz, out of Power and out of Pakistan, the emboldened Supreme Court Justice Iftikhar chaudhry slammed a verdict that might make him think that he entered into negotiations with the wrong party. With the twist of fate, it seems that all of a sudden there are far more players on the political chess board than Musharraf would ever have imagined before March 9th. Judiciary, empowered by Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry, Media empowered by their coverage of Judicial strikes and events surrounding it which Musharraf tried to stop by passing a bill against it, Benazir whom Musharraf engaged into negotiations before the fall of events, Ameica -- Of course, due to war on terror, the hardliner Muslim right that Musharraf managed to infuriate by pressing over Red Mosque issue which resulted in many suicide bombings soon after, and Nawaz Sharif who Musharraf thought was done and dusted, is soon to come back into the political scene. With so many players vying for power it would test Musharraf's political wisdom he's conjured up in the last 8 years, to all ends.

Ever since Musharraf came into power he made it clear that there is no room for the two ex-prime ministers that have each held power twice in the country. He has been pretty adamant on not cutting them any concessions whatsoever the circumstances may be. As fate has it or should I say 'the hand of God' the current political situation in Pakistan has forced him to reconsider his options. Bitter enemies are once again being brought together albeit their dislike. There are all sorts of news and analysis in the media as to which direction the current scenario of Pakistan's political future will take .

Reuters - Allies of Pakistan's President Pervez Musharraf have raised objections to a power-sharing deal he is negotiating with former prime minister Benazir Bhutto, casting fresh doubt on the future of the embattled president. But many members of Musharraf's ruling Pakistan Muslim League (PML) are alarmed at the prospect of their old rival Bhutto returning from eight years of exile to take power from them. PML president Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain said he had conveyed his reservations about parts of the proposed deal to Musharraf.

"We told him that there are certain things which are harmful for the country and the nation and they should be asked to review them," Hussain told Reuters on Friday, referring to Bhutto and her party and some of the demands they have been making.
Bhutto, who has been prime minister twice, wants the lifting of a ban on a person serving a third term. She also wants the president stripped of the power to dismiss governments, but Hussain said his party opposed those demands.

The New York Times analyzes the turmoil with a heading "Pakistan's Bhutto gambles on Musharraf", alleging her 'Deal' is due to the fact that she wants to come back having dropped all the corruption charges against her.

NYT: Exiled former leader Benazir Bhutto is gambling her future on a power-sharing deal with President Gen. Pervez Musharraf, hoping to revive a political dynasty.
Bhutto is urging Musharraf to step down as military chief and drop corruption charges so she can come home and compete in parliamentary elections due by January. In return, the U.S.-allied Musharraf gets to stay on for another five years as a powerful civilian president.
"For the first time in the history of Pakistan, from one end to the other end of Pakistan, there's complete unanimity: No more dictatorship," said Ghulam Mustafa Khar, a senior politician who has broken with Bhutto's Pakistan People's Party over her talks with Musharraf. "Now, Benazir stands up and says, 'Stay, Musharraf, stay!' ... That is something which is a nightmare for the people of Pakistan," he said.
Bhutto and Musharraf also argue that joining forces will strengthen Pakistan's efforts to combat extremism and prevent the kind of political chaos that could prompt another burst of martial law. "I am trying to convince (party colleagues) that the international community and the armed forces have confidence in Musharraf, and therefore we need to work out a solution" with him, she told The Washington Post recently.
Khar was a close colleague of her father, party founder Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto, who was hanged on murder charges in 1979 after his ouster in an earlier military coup. By entering talks with Musharraf, Bhutto has offended the party's "long history of struggle against dictatorship," Khar said. Khar accused her of betraying her party's values by reaching out to a man who toppled Pakistan's last civilian government and has lost public support at home and abroad for recently trying to fire the country's top judge. "This is one thing that I have not even visualized or dreamt," he said.
If Bhutto fights only for her own immunity from prosecution, she will lose further credibility, said political columnist Ayaz Amir. But if she gets Musharraf out of his army post, she can claim to have broken a political deadlock. "Then the People's Party will go to town and say, 'Look here, no one else could do this, and we've done it ... We won this great victory for democracy,'" said Amir, a former lawmaker in Sharif's party now writing for the Dawn newspaper.
Sharif, poised to profit from any hiccups, says Bhutto has committed a "gross violation" of an agreement with him and other opposition parties not to talk with Musharraf. But the embrace of an army discredited by eight years of military rule could see her lose the upcoming election, said Talat Masood, a former Pakistani army general turned political analyst. "As a pillar of anti-establishment, she has become the supporter of establishment. It's a big departure in ideological terms," he said. "The die-hard support that she had received from a certain class of people all along will be seriously impaired." Masood counted himself among Bhutto's well-wishers but worried that "she has lost touch with the people in these last few years that she has been away. It's the support of the people that's important. If you get that, you are in a much more advantageous position than even having the support of the uniform," he said.

Pakistan's politics will get to see more of the same old. In an interesting twist of turns it seems that both the heads of the strongest parties that Musharraf tried so hard to keep away for 8 years seem to be coming back, not exactly as he planned.

BBC analyzed that the government is keeping all it's options open after Sharif's announcement to come back on Sep 10th, before the holy Month of Ramadan, "Pakistan's government is keeping all options open after exiled former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif announced plans to return next month, a minister says...Another former Prime Minister, Benazir Bhutto, is demanding a response before the weekend to her terms for a power-sharing deal with Gen Musharraf...On Thursday, the US reminded Gen Musharraf of his commitment to resign his army position before contesting elections. 'We expect him to honour that commitment," said a US spokesman'."

Muhammad Ali Durrani, the Information Minister, had a different say about the whole scenario. while speaking to BBC he said, "The government is keeping all options open on Nawaz Sharif's return, If he comes back, we will make a strategy."
That may also mean that government might consider negotiating with Sharif, since he still has quite a few well wishers in Mushrraf's own PML(Q), who'd rather align with Nawaz Sharif than Benazir.

Mr Sharif seems to be playing his legal and political position wisely. Let's not forget that pre-1998 coup, he was the only politician to have come into the office in Pakitan with clear majority. He announced his return a week after Pakistan Supreme court defied the government and ruled that being a citizen of Pakistan he has a legal right to go back to his home country.Government and independent think tanks say that Mr Sharif could still face jail if he returns.
Mr Sharif reiterated that he wants to "start a decisive struggle against dictatorship", and said that it would be unfortunate if Benazir made a deal with the General. "I disagree with Ms Bhutto's current policy of shaking hands with a dictator," he said.